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Monday night in Cincinnati, the AFC North-leading Monday Night Football Bengals (11-4, five-1 home, Monday Night Football 12-3 Monday Night Football ATS) play host to the Buffalo Bills (12-three, 6-2 away, 7-7-1 ATS), who’ve already locked up the AFC East and may reclaim the number-one seed inside the convention from the Chiefs with a win. The Bengals could clinch their second straight division identify with a victory and might live inside the hunt for pinnacle seed inside the AFC’s portion of the NFL playoff bracket.
The odds for the sport are razor tight. Buffalo is presently a 1.5-factor avenue preferred in Monday’s NFL odds after Monday Night Football beginning at -1.Bills vs. Bengals OddsTeamSpreadMoneylineTotalBills-1.5 Monday Night Football (-a hundred and ten)-12249.five (-114)Bengals+1.5 (-a hundred and ten)+10449.5 (-106)
The game overall stays at 49.five, which is unchanged from the Week 17 opening odds.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EST at Paycor Stadium. ESPN will bring the broadcast.
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STATES: AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, MD, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VATwo lengthy win streaks on the line
Monday’s game will pit the two longest win streaks within the AFC against each other. Only the NFC’s San Francisco 49ers – winners of 9 straight – have a longer Monday Night Football active streak than the Bengals (7) and Bills (6).
The ATS trends have not been almost as type to Buffalo. Despite a 12-3 instantly-up document, the Bills are only a .500 group in opposition to the unfold, sitting at 7-7-1 entering Monday. They are 3-6 ATS of their beyond 9.
The Bengals, then again, have the fine ATS record inside the league at 12-three. Cincinnati included the spread in all eleven of its victories, plus a 19-17 loss at Baltimore in Week five as 3-point underdogs.
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STATES: AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, MD, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VABills and Bengals have both cashed numerous unders
Both teams have Monday Night Football skewed heavily to the beneath this season. Buffalo is five-10 over/underneath at the same time as Cincinnati is 5-9-1 o/u. Monday Night Football However, that trend become much extra distinguished early within the season than it Monday Night Football has been of overdue.
Through the primary 5 weeks of the season, they blended to move 1-nine o/u. In their beyond 14 games mixed, they may be an excellent 7-7 o/u. (Buffalo is four-three to the over; Cincinnati is three-4.)
There is no recent records between the perimeters, at least now not any it really is applicable. They closing met in 2019 at Orchard Monday Night Football Park when second-12 months seasoned Josh Allen led the Bills to a 21-17 victory over an Monday Night Football Andy Dalton-led Bengals group. (Joe Burrow was busy prevailing a countrywide championship at LSU.)
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STATES: AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, MD, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA Injury news and notes
Cincinnati Monday Night Football lost offensive address La’el Monday Night Football Collins to a torn ACL in Week sixteen. Hakeem Adeniji, a 2020 6th-spherical pick out of Kansas, could be his alternative. Many pundits deemed the loss of Collins sizeable, but the PFF player grades disagree to some extent. Collins had a rating of 57.9, which turned into a lowly seventieth out of 81 certified OTs. Adeniji’s score is most effective marginally decrease (52.eight).
The Bengals may also be with out the group’s sack chief, Sam Hubbard (6.5 sacks). The edge rusher is questionable with a calf harm.
On the Buffalo aspect, safety Jordan Poyer is questionable with a knee harm. His absence might be a blow, with the Bills already down Micah Hyde and Christian Benford inside the secondary.Bills vs. Bengals prediction
What the Bengals’ wonderful win streak fails to expose is that Cincinnati has had a difficult time putting two quality of halves of soccer together during the last 3 weeks. They had been shutout for the primary 20-plus mins in opposition to the Browns in Week 14; they trailed Tampa Bay 17-three at the half in Week 15; and they almost blew a 22-zero halftime result in New England in Week 16, preserving on for a 22-18 victory thanks to a Patriots fumble on the 5-yard-line within the very last minute.
In short, there may be an excessive amount of inconsistency in Cincinnati’s overall performance for me to bet them towards arguably the pleasant crew in the NFL. But I’m additionally now not comfortable having a bet towards the Bengals at domestic. When this offense is clicking, it’s borderline unstoppable.
Instead, my favorite play in this recreation is a participant prop: Joe Burrow below zero.five interceptions at -108 odds. Buffalo is within the pinnacle-half of of the league with 14 INTs at the year, and Burrow is averaging almost one in step with game (13 picks in 15 video games). But his tune document at home over the last two seasons favors no interceptions. Burrow did not throw an interception in 5 of 9 domestic video games last season, and he is stored a clean stat line in 4 of six home games this season.
Buffalo’s protection hauled in at the least one choose in its first four road games this year, but would not have a unmarried interception in its past four. With the Bills’ secondary banged up, I am making a bet on that streak running to 5 video games on Monday night.
Best guess: Joe Burrow underneath zero.five interceptions (-108)
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